Disasters, Removal Type, and Conflict in Small-Coalition Regimes
|
| Dependent variable: MIDs Initiated |
| |
| |
| Regular Removal | Irregular Removal |
| (1) | (2) |
|
Disaster Events (log) | -0.032 | -0.131 |
| (0.601) | (0.212) |
| | |
Disaster Deaths (log) | 0.064 | -0.030 |
| (0.103) | (0.049) |
| | |
CINC | 80.463 | 89.305*** |
| (92.354) | (30.992) |
| | |
Land area (sq. km.) | 0.225* | 0.006 |
| (0.118) | (0.057) |
| | |
Real GDP (log) | -0.156 | 0.366*** |
| (0.174) | (0.085) |
| | |
Leader Tenure | 0.00001 | -0.00001*** |
| (0.00002) | (0.00000) |
| | |
Population | 0.002 | -0.024*** |
| (0.015) | (0.009) |
| | |
Peace Years | -0.054 | -0.020*** |
| (0.046) | (0.007) |
| | |
Constant | -3.464* | -4.700*** |
| (1.964) | (0.870) |
| | |
|
Observations | 551 | 1,221 |
Log Likelihood | -163.503 | -699.874 |
theta | 4.639 (8.836) | 1.045*** (0.241) |
Akaike Inf. Crit. | 345.006 | 1,417.749 |
|
*p<0.1; **p<0.05; ***p<0.01 |
Estimated standard errors in parentheses. |
Negative binomial regression models. |
All models include CINC score, land area (sq. km, log), |
real GDP (log), population, time in office, and peace years. |