Disasters, Removal Type, and Conflict in Small-Coalition Regimes
Dependent variable: MIDs Initiated
Regular RemovalIrregular Removal
(1)(2)
Disaster Events (log)-0.032-0.131
(0.601)(0.212)
Disaster Deaths (log)0.064-0.030
(0.103)(0.049)
CINC80.46389.305***
(92.354)(30.992)
Land area (sq. km.)0.225*0.006
(0.118)(0.057)
Real GDP (log)-0.1560.366***
(0.174)(0.085)
Leader Tenure0.00001-0.00001***
(0.00002)(0.00000)
Population0.002-0.024***
(0.015)(0.009)
Peace Years-0.054-0.020***
(0.046)(0.007)
Constant-3.464*-4.700***
(1.964)(0.870)
Observations5511,221
Log Likelihood-163.503-699.874
theta4.639 (8.836)1.045*** (0.241)
Akaike Inf. Crit.345.0061,417.749
*p<0.1; **p<0.05; ***p<0.01
Estimated standard errors in parentheses.
Negative binomial regression models.
All models include CINC score, land area (sq. km, log),
real GDP (log), population, time in office, and peace years.