Models in Table 3 excluding treaties with reservations
Dependent variable:
OLSPoissonOLSPoisson
MEAsMEAsMEAs + BEAsMEAs + BEAs
(1)(2)(3)(4)
Term limit3.509***0.303*3.990***0.313
(1.076)(0.157)(1.489)(0.208)
Real GDP/capita (log)0.186-0.041-0.138-0.082*
(0.214)(0.034)(0.272)(0.042)
Change in real GDP/capita (pct.)0.001-0.00010.0020.0002
(0.001)(0.0003)(0.001)(0.0003)
Experience with democracy-0.042*-0.006-0.064**-0.009**
(0.021)(0.004)(0.026)(0.004)
Disasters in prior 3 years (log)-0.147***-0.016**-0.254**-0.030***
(0.055)(0.007)(0.104)(0.011)
Resource rents (pct. of GDP)0.051***0.006***0.054***0.006**
(0.015)(0.002)(0.017)(0.003)
XRCOMP0.364**0.050*0.414**0.052*
(0.180)(0.028)(0.202)(0.029)
PARCOMP-0.269***-0.036**-0.317***-0.042**
(0.089)(0.015)(0.107)(0.016)
IGO memberships0.007-0.001-0.006-0.003**
(0.010)(0.001)(0.013)(0.001)
Executive right0.1200.014-0.013-0.005
(0.118)(0.015)(0.151)(0.018)
Executive left0.069-0.008-0.023-0.025
(0.116)(0.016)(0.148)(0.019)
CSO repression0.0050.0180.0260.029*
(0.078)(0.013)(0.101)(0.016)
Presidential democracy-0.537**0.012-0.2280.055
(0.269)(0.042)(0.294)(0.044)
Leader age0.002-0.00050.0050.0001
(0.005)(0.001)(0.006)(0.001)
Female-0.0890.0004-0.255-0.005
(0.176)(0.023)(0.258)(0.029)
Term limit Real GDP/capita-0.436***-0.038**-0.502***-0.040
(0.126)(0.018)(0.180)(0.024)
Observations2,0532,0532,0532,053
R20.9710.958
Adjusted R20.9690.955
Log Likelihood-4,176.337-4,455.669
Akaike Inf. Crit.8,642.6749,201.337
*p<0.1; **p<0.05; ***p<0.01
Note: Robust (HC1) standard errors in parentheses.
Country- and year dummies included but omitted from table output.