Models in Table 2 excluding treaties with reservations
Dependent variable:
OLSOLSPoissonPoisson
MEAsMEAsMEAs + BEAsMEAs + BEAsMEAsMEAsMEAs + BEAsMEAs + BEAs
(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)
Term limit-0.339**-0.198-0.365**-0.271-0.050**-0.029-0.051**-0.037
(0.134)(0.168)(0.160)(0.212)(0.019)(0.022)(0.021)(0.029)
Real GDP/capita (log)0.447***0.0380.500***-0.3050.066***-0.0540.078***-0.094**
(0.062)(0.209)(0.079)(0.266)(0.009)(0.034)(0.011)(0.042)
Change in real GDP/capita (pct.)0.004***0.0010.006***0.002*0.0004-0.00010.001**0.0002
(0.002)(0.001)(0.002)(0.001)(0.0004)(0.0004)(0.0003)(0.0003)
Experience with democracy-0.006***-0.040*-0.002-0.062**-0.001***-0.006-0.0003-0.009**
(0.002)(0.021)(0.002)(0.026)(0.0002)(0.004)(0.0003)(0.004)
Disasters in prior 3 years (log)-0.130***-0.142***0.030-0.248**-0.013**-0.016**0.008-0.029***
(0.043)(0.055)(0.060)(0.104)(0.006)(0.007)(0.007)(0.011)
Resource rents (pct. of GDP)-0.019**0.052***-0.0120.054***-0.005***0.006***-0.004***0.006**
(0.008)(0.015)(0.009)(0.017)(0.001)(0.002)(0.002)(0.003)
XRCOMP0.491***0.335*0.366**0.379*0.082***0.048*0.075***0.050*
(0.142)(0.179)(0.161)(0.201)(0.022)(0.028)(0.024)(0.029)
PARCOMP0.096-0.258***0.008-0.304***0.015-0.036**0.003-0.041**
(0.076)(0.089)(0.085)(0.106)(0.011)(0.015)(0.012)(0.016)
IGO memberships0.030***0.0040.025***-0.0100.003***-0.0020.002***-0.003**
(0.003)(0.010)(0.005)(0.012)(0.0004)(0.001)(0.001)(0.001)
Executive right-0.0870.130-0.048-0.001-0.0070.0150.001-0.004
(0.110)(0.118)(0.129)(0.151)(0.015)(0.015)(0.016)(0.018)
Executive left-0.1320.078-0.090-0.012-0.021-0.007-0.017-0.024
(0.108)(0.116)(0.134)(0.148)(0.015)(0.015)(0.017)(0.019)
CSO repression0.218***0.0380.234***0.0630.038***0.0210.040***0.032**
(0.056)(0.077)(0.071)(0.101)(0.009)(0.013)(0.010)(0.016)
Presidential democracy0.107-0.558**0.247*-0.2540.025*0.0100.043***0.053
(0.097)(0.270)(0.133)(0.294)(0.013)(0.042)(0.016)(0.044)
Leader age-0.0020.0020.0010.005-0.001-0.001-0.00010.00001
(0.004)(0.005)(0.005)(0.006)(0.001)(0.001)(0.001)(0.001)
Female0.024-0.122-0.065-0.2910.011-0.0030.003-0.007
(0.155)(0.177)(0.189)(0.259)(0.022)(0.023)(0.024)(0.029)
Country dummies?NYNYNYNY
Observations2,0532,0532,0532,0532,0532,0532,0532,053
R20.9590.9710.9440.958
Adjusted R20.9580.9690.9420.954
Log Likelihood-4,356.488-4,177.144-4,652.007-4,456.684
Akaike Inf. Crit.8,816.9778,642.2889,408.0149,201.369
*p<0.1; **p<0.05; ***p<0.01
Note: Robust (HC1) standard errors in parentheses.
Country- and year dummies included but omitted from table output.