Models in Table 3 excluding treaties with reservations
|
| Dependent variable: |
| |
| OLS | Poisson | OLS | Poisson |
| MEAs | MEAs | MEAs + BEAs | MEAs + BEAs |
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) |
|
Term limit | 3.509*** | 0.303* | 3.990*** | 0.313 |
| (1.076) | (0.157) | (1.489) | (0.208) |
Real GDP/capita (log) | 0.186 | -0.041 | -0.138 | -0.082* |
| (0.214) | (0.034) | (0.272) | (0.042) |
Change in real GDP/capita (pct.) | 0.001 | -0.0001 | 0.002 | 0.0002 |
| (0.001) | (0.0003) | (0.001) | (0.0003) |
Experience with democracy | -0.042* | -0.006 | -0.064** | -0.009** |
| (0.021) | (0.004) | (0.026) | (0.004) |
Disasters in prior 3 years (log) | -0.147*** | -0.016** | -0.254** | -0.030*** |
| (0.055) | (0.007) | (0.104) | (0.011) |
Resource rents (pct. of GDP) | 0.051*** | 0.006*** | 0.054*** | 0.006** |
| (0.015) | (0.002) | (0.017) | (0.003) |
XRCOMP | 0.364** | 0.050* | 0.414** | 0.052* |
| (0.180) | (0.028) | (0.202) | (0.029) |
PARCOMP | -0.269*** | -0.036** | -0.317*** | -0.042** |
| (0.089) | (0.015) | (0.107) | (0.016) |
IGO memberships | 0.007 | -0.001 | -0.006 | -0.003** |
| (0.010) | (0.001) | (0.013) | (0.001) |
Executive right | 0.120 | 0.014 | -0.013 | -0.005 |
| (0.118) | (0.015) | (0.151) | (0.018) |
Executive left | 0.069 | -0.008 | -0.023 | -0.025 |
| (0.116) | (0.016) | (0.148) | (0.019) |
CSO repression | 0.005 | 0.018 | 0.026 | 0.029* |
| (0.078) | (0.013) | (0.101) | (0.016) |
Presidential democracy | -0.537** | 0.012 | -0.228 | 0.055 |
| (0.269) | (0.042) | (0.294) | (0.044) |
Leader age | 0.002 | -0.0005 | 0.005 | 0.0001 |
| (0.005) | (0.001) | (0.006) | (0.001) |
Female | -0.089 | 0.0004 | -0.255 | -0.005 |
| (0.176) | (0.023) | (0.258) | (0.029) |
Term limit Real GDP/capita | -0.436*** | -0.038** | -0.502*** | -0.040 |
| (0.126) | (0.018) | (0.180) | (0.024) |
|
Observations | 2,053 | 2,053 | 2,053 | 2,053 |
R2 | 0.971 | | 0.958 | |
Adjusted R2 | 0.969 | | 0.955 | |
Log Likelihood | | -4,176.337 | | -4,455.669 |
Akaike Inf. Crit. | | 8,642.674 | | 9,201.337 |
|
*p<0.1; **p<0.05; ***p<0.01 |
Note: Robust (HC1) standard errors in parentheses. |
Country- and year dummies included but omitted from table output. |